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Mortality and risk of progression to adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma in patients with HTLV-1-associated myelopathy/tropical spastic paraparesis

Human T-cell leukemia virus (HTLV)-1 causes the functionally debilitating disease HTLV-1-associated myelopathy/ tropical spastic paraparesis (HAM/TSP) as well as adult T-cell leukemia lymphoma (ATLL). Although there were concerns that the mortality of HAM/TSP could be affected by the development of ATLL, prospective evidence was lacking in this area. In this 5-year prospective cohort study, we determined the mortality, prevalence, and incidence of ATLL in 527 HAM/TSP patients. The standard mortality ratio of HAM/TSP patients was 2.25, and ATLL was one of the major causes of death (5/33 deaths). ATLL prevalence and incidence in these patients were 3.0% and 3.81 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. To identify patients at a high risk of developing ATLL, flow cytometry, Southern blotting, and targeted sequencing data were analyzed in a separate cohort of 218 HAM/TSP patients. In 17% of the HAM/TSP patients, we identified an increase in T-cells positive for cell adhesion molecule 1 (CADM1), a marker for ATLL and HTLV-1 infected cells. Genomic analysis of these patients revealed that somatic mutations of HTLV-1 infected cells were seen in 90% of the cases and 11% of them had dominant clone and developed ATLL in the longitudinal observation. In this study, we were able to demonstrate for the first time that the increased mortality in patients with HAM/TSP and a significant effect of ATLL on their prognosis. Having dominant clonal expansion of HTLV-1- infected cells with ATLL-associated somatic mutations may be important characteristics of patients with HAM/TSP who are at an increased risk of developing ATLL.